Beloved-Linen
0x4a54852dec374067de601468f48cb0bf1b20e1dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$38.87
Total PnL
$-98.60
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
19 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.02
$-0.38
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 4.2¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.21
$0.94
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.23
$0.43
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
18 shares @ 27.9¢·now 26.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.78
$-0.22
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
7 shares @ 42.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.46
$0.46
- NO
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.26
$-2.74
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.82
$-3.18
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.35
$-8.65
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$4.80Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$4.79Jun 13, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$7.40Jun 13, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$7.22Jun 13, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$98.00Jun 13, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$0.67Jun 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$0.57Jun 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$0.94Jun 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.98Jun 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97Jun 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5$4.95Jun 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.83Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?$0.78Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUK Recession in 2026?$0.92Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$0.97Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $1.21Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.81Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.79Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?$4.56Jun 13, 22:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.