0x4aefed77846f1b884bcbfb9e63acb351c2be9337
0x4aefed77846f1b884bcbfb9e63acb351c2be9337
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
82%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
2000 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.0K
$15.00
- NO
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
2000 shares @ 83.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.7K
$15.01
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
10000 shares @ 10.3¢·now 11.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.2K
$125.00
- YES
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2879 shares @ 31.8¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.1K
$135.95
- NO
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
268 shares @ 86.9¢·now 95.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$256.83
$24.08
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
61 shares @ 5.9¢·now 8.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.50
$1.87
- YES
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.61
$0.52
- YES
Will de Goes Rodrygo win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
15000 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-591.18
- YES
Will Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
15000 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-591.18
- YES
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
5000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-750.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMExact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland?$10.00Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Qatar 2 - 1 Switzerland?$21.34Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5$19.89Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5$266.19Jun 13, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Qatar (-3.5)$100.10Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5$98.00Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5$1.0KJun 13, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Switzerland (-3.5)$12.16Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5$265.92Jun 13, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Qatar (-3.5)$100.00Jun 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.27Jun 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$86.70Jun 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.92Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.19Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$808.92Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5$1.27Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland?$9.99Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Qatar 2 - 1 Switzerland?$21.32Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5$2.41Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5$10.89Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $286.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.