Unruly-Shoat
0x4afa97a1e05453661fc84eea4e206f73d15d4019
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$10.17
Total PnL
$-286.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
2 shares @ 89.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.22
$0.22
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 7.5¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 74.9¢·now 72.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
160 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01May 22, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET$1.01May 22, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5$1.96May 22, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5$1.01May 9, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.01May 9, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 9, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 9, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01May 9, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.01May 9, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 9, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$8.86May 9, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$8.00Apr 26, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Thunder$5.42Apr 26, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Thunder$5.00Apr 22, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.43Apr 22, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.97Apr 22, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.00Apr 7, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 7, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$19.89Apr 7, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$49.44Jan 17, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $15.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".