Joyous-Consequence
0x4b4806c46359b67fe6afce2c9be664184f5335d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$834.64
Total PnL
$153.46
Realised
$71.39
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
141 shares @ 85.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$131.89
$11.30
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
70 shares @ 72.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.25
$10.35
- NO
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
96 shares @ 54.1¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.26
$6.11
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
56 shares @ 86.1¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.22
$1.66
- NO
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
50 shares @ 91.1¢·now 95.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$47.55
$2.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 86.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$46.75
$3.35
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
49 shares @ 66.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.88
$10.53
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
60 shares @ 78.7¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.69
$-5.51
- NO
NATO article 5 before 2027?
40 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.60
$3.00
- NO
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?
32 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.07
$2.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$89.00Jun 14, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$18.30Jun 14, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesper Svensson win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?$9.90Jun 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesper Svensson win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?$8.10Jun 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesper Svensson win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?$8.84Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?$4.78Jun 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?$11.14Jun 13, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesper Svensson win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?$5.63Jun 13, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesper Svensson win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?$1.61Jun 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?$20.60Jun 13, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$0.00Jun 13, 06:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$19.56Jun 12, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.29Jun 12, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$17.50Jun 12, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.63Jun 12, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.98Jun 12, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.31Jun 12, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$5.10Jun 12, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $16.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.