0x4c76cbce1532d5ef1f1e65419834aa3654c6cf47
0x4c76cbce1532d5ef1f1e65419834aa3654c6cf47
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$154.69
Total PnL
$-41.78
Realised
$-0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
70 shares @ 75.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$61.13
$8.13
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$14.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
27 shares @ 51.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$13.89
$-0.33
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?
17 shares @ 71.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$9.52
$-2.45
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.34
$0.34
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$5.46
$0.46
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
5 shares @ 92.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 16.8¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Cavaliers$14.18May 23, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$14.38May 23, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-04?$12.07May 23, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$20.29May 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$5.05May 23, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6.00May 23, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00May 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$30.00May 23, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$74.23May 23, 14:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$13.00May 21, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$2.63May 21, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.00May 21, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$9.89May 21, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".