Simplistic-Organizing
0x4d2d1e1f46e87bbd3754e4303c6ec0c9c0fde40d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$120.02
Total PnL
$-140.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
48 shares @ 86.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
26 shares @ 76.1¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.12
$3.12
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
27 shares @ 81.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$20.05
$-2.05
- SPURS
Thunder vs. Spurs
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
10 shares @ 97.3¢·now 96.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.88
$-0.12
- SPURS
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
14 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.93
$-0.07
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 29.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$3.62
$-2.38
- QINGDAO EAGLES
Shanxi Loongs vs. Qingdao Eagles
179 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- KIWOOM DRX
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-6.5)$5.08May 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$10.16May 18, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-6.5)$7.10May 18, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5$8.59May 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$8.93May 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5$5.56May 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$4.08May 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$3.25May 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$6.78May 16, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$3.06May 16, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMParis (Doubles): Kichenok/Krawczyk vs Jiang/Xu$4.08May 16, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5$14.86May 16, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis (Doubles): Kichenok/Krawczyk vs Jiang/Xu$4.00May 15, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5$11.09May 15, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLPistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5$10.26May 15, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMParis: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkova$5.00May 15, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$10.09May 14, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkova$3.63May 14, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$7.08May 14, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5$10.16May 14, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $12.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 08:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".