Gummy-Movement
0x4d45927738376db79e72c78f4a2f9637c424652a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$909.59
Total PnL
$-113.10
Realised
$2.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
234 shares @ 77.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$188.60
$8.20
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 36.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$144.00
$36.00
- YES
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
461 shares @ 35.3¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.06
$-26.83
- YES
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1346 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$87.49
$6.73
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 22.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$81.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 58.2¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$78.06
$-5.30
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
200 shares @ 32.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$61.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
126 shares @ 53.2¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$42.84
$-24.25
- YES
Will Ariana Grande feature The Weeknd on Petal?
41 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.76
$0.41
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
442 shares @ 13.4¢·now 4.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.35
$-39.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$181.70Jun 12, 19:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$910.44Jun 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$183.31Jun 11, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$85.79Jun 11, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$231.08Jun 11, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$65.31Jun 11, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$854.24Jun 11, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?$9.48Jun 11, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?$303.56Jun 5, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?$1.0KJun 5, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?$31.97Jun 5, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?$65.80Jun 5, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?$10.19Jun 5, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?$154.84Jun 5, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?$5.48Jun 5, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?$4.56Jun 5, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?$9.99Jun 5, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $141.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.