Svelte-Shack
0x4d53dffdb7db073c1ca5945a9c6e0f0821c33b55
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$23.92
Total PnL
$-259.29
Realised
$9.28
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
32 shares @ 7.9¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.22
$20.72
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
70 shares @ 55.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.70
$-37.92
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
180 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-46.90
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
90 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
75 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.50
- NO
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Cavaliers
39 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- KINGS
Blue Jackets vs. Kings
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran leadership change by March 31?$130.00Apr 7, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Posy Li die in Bridgerton: Season 4?$217.39Apr 7, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$43.52Mar 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$23.10Mar 13, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$33.48Mar 13, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$1.5KMar 5, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$1.3KMar 4, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$25.50Feb 25, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$4.86Feb 25, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$1.00Feb 25, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$4.56Feb 25, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$27.00Feb 20, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$6.60Feb 17, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$24.00Feb 17, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$11.10Feb 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$24.35Feb 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.40Feb 16, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$7.95Feb 16, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.03Feb 14, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$16.47Feb 14, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $57.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 15:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.