Late-Birch
0x4da76bbf120899fc10fa6e0aad4bffdd19a7355e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$79.9K
Total PnL
$28.6K
Realised
$12.4K
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
36944 shares @ 42.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.7K
$3.1K
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
15312 shares @ 35.2¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.7K
$4.3K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
15000 shares @ 31.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.2K
$4.6K
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
9313 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.2K
$181.60
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
9673 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.2K
$1.0K
- NO
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
5591 shares @ 76.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.6K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5000 shares @ 76.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.0K
$1.1K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
7784 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.6K
$350.27
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
5000 shares @ 73.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.0K
$325.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
13512 shares @ 28.8¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.2K
$-689.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$61.71Jun 14, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$137.37Jun 14, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$32.34Jun 14, 01:14 UTC
- REWARD$0.82Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$82.08Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$460.00Jun 13, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$470.00Jun 13, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$112.23Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.89Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$296.80Jun 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$939.08Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$160.00Jun 13, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?$3.90Jun 13, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?$1.11Jun 13, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?$8.88Jun 13, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.0KJun 13, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.22Jun 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?$1.30Jun 13, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$16.20Jun 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.17Jun 13, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $551.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.