0x4dfe1fcdac2333891c4874a196ed1b1aa07ced81
0x4dfe1fcdac2333891c4874a196ed1b1aa07ced81
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$39.37
Total PnL
$-21.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$5.02
$-0.00
- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.95
$-0.07
- NO
Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.84
$-0.01
- EVEN
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$4.79
$-0.02
- NO
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 94.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.75
$-0.27
- NO
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.72
$-0.30
- NO
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 85.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.31
$-0.71
- NO
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.19
$-0.83
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 35.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.79
$-3.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMap 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?$4.81May 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$4.87May 20, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$4.86May 19, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026?$4.85May 18, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$4.84May 17, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$4.85May 16, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026?$4.85May 16, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?$4.85May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?$4.85May 16, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$4.78May 16, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$4.78May 16, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$4.82May 15, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: GTZ Esports vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season$4.77May 15, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: GTZ Esports vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season$4.77May 15, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$4.77May 14, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$4.78May 13, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: cirahvi vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES - Map 2 Winner$4.77May 12, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?$4.81May 12, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: cirahvi vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES - Map 2 Winner$4.77May 11, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?$4.76May 11, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $4.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 21:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".