Quirky-Serial
0x4e3ece970e73e168353479b947adcc826613c2b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$17.23
Total PnL
$-686.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 72.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.23
$-22.77
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
522 shares @ 67.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?
233 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
129 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-98.27
- YES
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-05-02?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$669.89Jun 1, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$152.52Jun 1, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$201.92Jun 1, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.5KJun 1, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$338.98Jun 1, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.9KMay 31, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.4KMay 30, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.3KMay 29, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$5.19May 25, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$903.23May 25, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$907.81May 25, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$795.02May 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$618.45May 21, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$605.09May 21, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$201.52May 21, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$214.69May 21, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?$201.96May 13, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$304.68May 11, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 10?$204.25May 10, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$22.07May 10, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $464.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 15:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.