Indolent-Ceiling
0x4e48ed9969e0297f2175957f4cf1258b6ca5a96d
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$797.36
Total PnL
$12.79
Realised
$2.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
123 shares @ 79.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.76
$-1.68
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
71 shares @ 92.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.90
$3.50
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
58 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.05
$7.05
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
65 shares @ 84.3¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$53.15
$-1.85
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
40 shares @ 88.1¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.23
$2.23
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
27 shares @ 93.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.11
$1.11
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.58
$1.58
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.25
$1.25
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.16
$1.16
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
114 shares @ 16.7¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.40
$0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in June?$5.48Jun 2, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $525 in June?$6.02Jun 2, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $430 in June?$5.01Jun 2, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in June?$5.02Jun 2, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?$10.02Jun 2, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLGlencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?$31.55Jun 2, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in June?$7.80Jun 2, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?$5.01Jun 2, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?$10.07Jun 2, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 2, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$5.02Jun 2, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$10.00Jun 2, 21:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$26.00Jun 1, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$26.00Jun 1, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$11.34Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$11.34Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$5.49Jun 1, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$5.49Jun 1, 07:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $7.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".