Known-Phase
0x4e6a2c36bc2ce6b954e3c212535893099a28ee56
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.62
Total PnL
$-9.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Michael Anton be next National Security Advisor?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Swag II first-week album sales be under 75000?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.00Feb 9, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 29, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?$1.00Jan 23, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.08Jan 23, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.09Jan 23, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$1.16Jan 23, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.20Jan 23, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.35Jan 23, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$1.41Jan 23, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo visit Turkey first?$1.64Jan 23, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jan 7, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$1.00Dec 26, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Dec 19, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?$1.00Dec 12, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$1.00Nov 28, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 24, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Nov 14, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?$1.00Nov 7, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Oct 31, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Oct 24, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".