Merry-Photograph
0x4e9ceeacd58f82ba6e61a050c3e4a615a14b0609
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$265.23
Total PnL
$86.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$99.65
$68.65
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
90 shares @ 67.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$89.65
$29.28
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
124 shares @ 65.6¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$71.50
$-10.11
- YES
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?
12 shares @ 42.4¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.43
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?$4.7050m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?$0.7155m ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$1.161h ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?$1.251h ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$0.431h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?$4.575h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$3.225h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$1.615h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$1.975h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?$4.985h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?$0.365h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?$6.245h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$1.056h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?$4.566h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$3.276h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$1.406h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$2.186h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$1.496h ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$107.106h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$1.0010h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $14.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 50m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".