Accomplished-Octave
0x4f110ec2b8b4bb4a335a2b7d0a7bf92d4681befb
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$41.00
Total PnL
$-1.60
Realised
$2.28
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
30 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$29.99
$2.10
- NO
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
7 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.86
$0.14
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 62.3¢·now 71.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$0.27
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
9 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.62
$0.00
- NO
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
7 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.31
- NO
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
21 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$1.62Jun 13, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $5.22Jun 10, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $5.04Jun 8, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.98Jun 6, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$8.60Jun 2, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$8.31May 30, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$7.48May 30, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.60May 30, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$3.30May 30, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.10May 30, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.00May 30, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$3.39May 28, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.03May 25, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$14.88May 21, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$6.57May 21, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.43May 21, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$23.40Apr 25, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$7.51Apr 23, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$4.80Apr 23, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$11.40Apr 17, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.