Unfinished-Reliability
0x4fab2e9df8a10b085915017db8394ae79f92d3c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$11.08
Total PnL
$-316.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?
51 shares @ 39.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.94
$-10.06
- YES
Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 54.0¢·now 4.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.14
$-13.86
- YES
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times August 29–September 5?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
179 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
135 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
119 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
109 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
91 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?$10.17May 3, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$0.51Apr 29, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMAWS service disrupted by March 31?$14.71Mar 2, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?$15.00Feb 20, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$21.60Feb 14, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?$10.00Feb 14, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLParadex FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4.54Feb 14, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLPerena FDV above $100M one day after launch?$12.00Feb 14, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLVentuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?$8.89Feb 14, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLOctra FDV above $200M one day after launch?$12.99Feb 9, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLOctra FDV above $100M one day after launch?$9.31Feb 9, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLGensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?$13.33Feb 6, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $80 in February?$4.78Feb 4, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$14.80Feb 3, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.02Feb 3, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$0.05Feb 3, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYVentuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?$10.00Feb 3, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $300M one day after launch?$7.00Feb 3, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$15.00Feb 3, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLZama FDV above $500M one day after launch?$18.70Feb 2, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 10:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.