Pleasing-Elm
0x4ffe49ba2a4cae123536a8af4fda48faeb609f71
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$391.61
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
99%
146 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
2570 shares @ 0.2¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$237.68
$232.40
- YES
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
1893 shares @ 1.1¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$86.12
$65.30
- YES
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
2352 shares @ 0.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$83.28
$78.56
- NO
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1488 shares @ 2.4¢·now 4.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$61.03
$25.90
- YES
Will a player representing Scotland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1875 shares @ 0.4¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$55.31
$47.81
- YES
Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
1148 shares @ 0.2¢·now 4.7¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$53.37
$51.07
- YES
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
2751 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.27
$18.38
- YES
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
1636 shares @ 1.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.55
$23.56
- YES
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1262 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$32.81
$8.83
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
3599 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.39
$21.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$2.35Jun 15, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 in June?$0.34Jun 15, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$15.99Jun 15, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$15.88Jun 15, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 16?$0.66Jun 15, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2?$30.53Jun 15, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$11.76Jun 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?$11.76Jun 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0.67Jun 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$1.00Jun 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$1.00Jun 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$1.00Jun 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$1.00Jun 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$1.00Jun 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The MongolZ reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1.02Jun 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$1.90Jun 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?$0.11Jun 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$11.72Jun 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.68Jun 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$11.97Jun 15, 08:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 08:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 146 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.