Meager-Effectiveness
0x503c58a5f1a865dfc55d167ea7dae8ee34424574
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$392.19
Total PnL
$-407.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
5900 shares @ 8.4¢·now 4.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$286.13
$-210.98
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
357 shares @ 56.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$48.21
$-151.79
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 38.7¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.70
$-6.30
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
8255 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.38
$2.39
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.26
$-0.74
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.86
$0.86
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
211 shares @ 4.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.27
$-6.73
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.12
$-6.88
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
4 shares @ 76.9¢·now 46.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.83
$-1.17
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
1067 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.60
$-7.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$100.00May 17, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$43.79May 17, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.4KMay 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.63May 16, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.40May 16, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$0.54May 16, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $21.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".