0x506f3851ab75685ea3622bf4dd9d28cacadfe8bb
0x506f3851ab75685ea3622bf4dd9d28cacadfe8bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$7.8K
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$-23.19
Win rate
57%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
960 shares @ 75.9¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$737.76
$8.74
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
3313 shares @ 45.7¢·now 14.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$492.02
$-1.0K
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
542 shares @ 85.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$452.46
$-8.86
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
900 shares @ 41.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$445.50
$73.79
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
700 shares @ 75.4¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$441.00
$-87.00
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
526 shares @ 82.4¢·now 61.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$321.40
$-112.28
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
357 shares @ 58.2¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$314.23
$106.38
- NO
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
358 shares @ 83.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$312.87
$14.12
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
390 shares @ 87.8¢·now 75.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$294.57
$-47.37
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
600 shares @ 70.6¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$288.00
$-135.77
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9.32Jun 14, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 14, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$8.99Jun 14, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$169.26Jun 14, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$228.20Jun 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$151.40Jun 14, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.27Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$17.72Jun 14, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$17.70Jun 14, 00:06 UTC
- REWARD$4.31Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?$14.52Jun 13, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$16.80Jun 13, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.37Jun 13, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$63.00Jun 13, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.18Jun 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.19Jun 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$26.80Jun 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$13.20Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$13.00Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $39.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.