Sweltering-Smog
0x50d54bb4536cb363f983758517ca2d50e16852b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$9.77
Total PnL
$-5.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.49
$0.49
- NO
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
1 shares @ 92.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-0.91
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$1.00Jan 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.00Jan 12, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?$1.00Jan 12, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Iraq by December 31?$1.02Jan 3, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.03Jan 3, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.40Jan 3, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMPakistan strikes Kabul by December 31?$3.09Jan 3, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Syria by December 31?$4.00Jan 3, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan strikes Kabul by December 31?$3.00Dec 14, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iraq by December 31?$1.00Dec 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$1.00Dec 14, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSomalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?$1.00Dec 14, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Dec 14, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?$1.00Dec 14, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$1.00Dec 14, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYX relaunches Vine in 2025?$1.00Dec 14, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Dec 14, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$1.00Dec 14, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00Dec 14, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 14, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.