Speedy-Dome
0x5102e215a26953edd026a0c5e4184a69f1029e92
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$279.30
Total PnL
$7.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
73 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$71.98
$1.96
- YES
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
52 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$51.46
$1.47
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
51 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$50.89
$0.92
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.48
$1.48
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.18
$1.19
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.00
$1.01
- NO
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
21 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$20.74
$0.75
- NO
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
17 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$16.87
$1.05
- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
5 shares @ 90.1¢·now 55.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.88
$-1.80
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$49.99Apr 25, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$19.99Apr 20, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$20.01Apr 18, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$50.02Apr 18, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$19.99Apr 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$0.22Apr 17, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$11.13Apr 17, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$19.99Apr 17, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$20.00Apr 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$4.69Apr 17, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?$4.69Apr 16, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$49.97Apr 14, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.00Apr 13, 13:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $20.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.