Finished-Shape
0x51a56251528ba177cfd4c769065fa21dc46ad2a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$41.81
Total PnL
$-8.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
X banned in any European country by December 31?
12 shares @ 60.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.11
$1.11
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.74
$1.74
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.17
$-0.83
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.84
$1.84
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
18 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.73
$-0.27
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$-0.36
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.00Apr 27, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Apr 27, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$1.00Apr 27, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$2.00Apr 27, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$4.00Apr 27, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$5.00Apr 27, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.00Apr 27, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$1.00Apr 27, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYX banned in any European country by December 31?$5.00Apr 25, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYX banned in any European country by December 31?$2.00Apr 25, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?$2.00Apr 25, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Apr 25, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.00Apr 25, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.00Apr 25, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?$1.00Apr 25, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?$1.00Apr 25, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?$1.00Apr 25, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$5.00Apr 25, 15:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.