Crafty-Musicmaking
0x51c4ba986d1f18391f978201ee03ed97c00ee4ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$6.19
Total PnL
$-13.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- PELICANS
Mavericks vs. Pelicans
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
4 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
2 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Pelicans$1.00Mar 13, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Kings$1.00Mar 13, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Lakers$1.00Mar 13, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.75Mar 13, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Jan 13, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 13, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in December?$2.08Jan 13, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Jan 12, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$1.00Jan 12, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Jan 12, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$1.00Jan 12, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 12, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 12, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrove FDV above $20M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 12, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.00Jan 12, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 10, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in December?$1.00Dec 10, 09:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".