Noxious-Real
0x5254d05feeaa9c50804304cb02c053d4233c9722
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-501.52
Realised
$29.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2175 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.0% in April?
1851 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
1551 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.47
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1125 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
1104 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-104.49
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% in April?
683 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.5% in April?
585 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.95
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
576 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.61
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
552 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.85May 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.06May 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.06May 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.61May 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.59May 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$11.16May 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$47.83May 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$50.65May 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$59.12May 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$328.47May 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$13.37May 2, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$359.34May 2, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$290.89Apr 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?$82.30Apr 30, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$25.71Apr 29, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?$10.36Apr 29, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$36.43Apr 29, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?$19.00Apr 23, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.0% in April?$10.00Apr 23, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.5% in April?$25.00Apr 23, 11:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $36.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 08:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 05:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.