Grumpy-Passport
0x52e2e1776b56d91dc31197d8347e032cbd451423
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$44.22
Total PnL
$-14.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.02
$1.02
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.53
$0.53
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
3 shares @ 86.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.48
$0.48
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 38.7¢·now 33.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
4 shares @ 83.9¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.15
$0.15
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.07
$-1.93
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.78
$0.78
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.54
$-0.46
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.52Jun 7, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Love" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?$1.00Jun 7, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.00Jun 7, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?$3.03Jun 7, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $27.5B?$1.00Jun 7, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia win on 2026-06-09?$1.01Jun 7, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.05Jun 7, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$5.56Jun 7, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.01Jun 7, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$1.01Jun 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01Jun 7, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jun 7, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.01Jun 7, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 3, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$1.00May 3, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$1.25Apr 12, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$3.95Apr 12, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMDow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 17?$2.81Mar 26, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$2.00Mar 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 17?$2.00Mar 17, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.