Distorted-Admin
0x530caca2543ce5c4965fd400928b19e0b31fa1d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$22.54
Total PnL
$2.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
3 shares @ 37.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.69
$1.69
- YES
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
2 shares @ 44.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$2.23
$1.23
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 44.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.23
$1.23
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- YES
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2 shares @ 46.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$2.16
$1.16
- YES
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$2.08
$1.08
- YES
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$1.72
$0.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$1.00Feb 3, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?$1.00Feb 3, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Feb 3, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Feb 3, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$1.00Dec 27, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Dec 27, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 27, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.20 released by January 15?$1.00Dec 27, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 27, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00Dec 27, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?$1.00Dec 27, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$1.00Dec 27, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$1.00Dec 27, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 27, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Nov 7, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Oct 17, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bin Laden" during September?$2.13Oct 17, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bin Laden" during September?$1.00Sep 10, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?$1.00Aug 22, 11:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 05:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.