Graceful-Spume
0x53bc2ba926ae112481776e9d23f7aa6fcd3dccac
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-302.02
Realised
$2.19
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
178 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-106.24
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Kings
84 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-41.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
54 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-29.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
31 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.38
- UNDER
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5
29 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
26 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
24 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
23 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
22 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)$4.45Jul 10, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.15Jul 10, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.30Jul 10, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$5.38May 10, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$5.34May 10, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$3.04May 10, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$1.12May 1, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$1.14Apr 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.00Apr 12, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.00Apr 12, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 12, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.00Apr 11, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$8.82Apr 9, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$77.77Mar 27, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$30.00Mar 27, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$10.00Mar 27, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$10.00Mar 27, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$10.00Mar 27, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.