0x54498e4c40b17261479aeaeeddf9cc37bd46992b
0x54498e4c40b17261479aeaeeddf9cc37bd46992b
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.2K
Total PnL
$796.33
Realised
$398.22
Win rate
59%
103 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1119 shares @ 70.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$933.99
$145.67
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
3865 shares @ 12.4¢·now 15.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$606.85
$128.86
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1003 shares @ 37.4¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$446.36
$71.35
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
1115 shares @ 30.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$284.29
$-58.46
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
255 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$252.88
$1.39
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
294 shares @ 77.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$248.56
$21.38
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
287 shares @ 75.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$236.85
$19.75
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
339 shares @ 68.3¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$210.26
$-21.29
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
384 shares @ 45.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$193.98
$21.28
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
181 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$180.07
$2.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.25Jun 14, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.25Jun 14, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.50Jun 14, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$2.50Jun 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$2.50Jun 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$2.50Jun 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.50Jun 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$2.50Jun 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.25Jun 14, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.10Jun 14, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.25Jun 14, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.10Jun 14, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.50Jun 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.25Jun 14, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.25Jun 14, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.25Jun 14, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.25Jun 14, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$1.13Jun 14, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.25Jun 14, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.25Jun 14, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 103 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.