Oval-Balloonist
0x546dd8d87de66347a7331b1790edf00080b6fb25
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$34.93
Total PnL
$-36.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- CAVALIERS
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$9.76
$-0.24
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
9 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.25
$0.65
- YES
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
13 shares @ 39.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.62
$0.62
- YES
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$0.40
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.37
$0.17
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 29.0¢·now 21.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.50
$-0.80
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.03
$-4.97
- SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.01
$-9.99
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?
95 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
22 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. 76ers$10.1022h ago
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers$10.1122h ago
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies$10.1722h ago
- REDEEMNRFI: Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays$7.2522h ago
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants$8.9322h ago
- REDEEMWizards vs. Warriors$14.9322h ago
- REDEEMAthletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays$15.6322h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$7.0034d ago
- TRADEBUYNRFI: Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays$5.0034d ago
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants$5.0034d ago
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays$10.0034d ago
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Warriors$10.0034d ago
- REDEEMIllinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers$0.0034d ago
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants$0.0034d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 27?$0.0034d ago
- REDEEMRangers vs. Maple Leafs$0.0034d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 27?$10.0035d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 23?$33.9735d ago
- TRADEBUYRangers vs. Maple Leafs$5.0036d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.0036d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $8.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 110d ago
- Last active
- 22h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".