Negligible-Chill
0x54c8e08354b3ecd5a8020ef2e232b8f3bfea6823
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$138.75
Total PnL
$-11.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
117 shares @ 81.3¢·now 79.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$92.91
$-2.09
- YES
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?
19 shares @ 77.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 24, 2026$19.09
$4.09
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$5.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-03?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 36.5¢·now 34.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-03?$5.107h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.0517h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.0317h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0117h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.1017h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?$1.803d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.213d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$1.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$5.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$2.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$2.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$1.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$1.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490?$1.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?$1.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 27?$11.394d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?$14.164d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 32d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".