Tempting-Wave
0x54dea53c2bace4f9711492e830af8806612b67b7
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$168.88
Total PnL
$12.59
Realised
$2.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
43 shares @ 67.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.25
$9.29
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
168 shares @ 23.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$37.78
$-2.22
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
29 shares @ 70.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.72
$7.29
- YES
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
40 shares @ 32.7¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.69
$3.69
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
536 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.05
$-2.95
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.95
$0.95
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
41 shares @ 24.2¢·now 24.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.75
$1.75
- NO
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.46
$0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 9?
227 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.93
$-3.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 9?$2.1021h ago
- YIELD$0.0021h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 8?$1.0521h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 9?$1.0421h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 9?$1.2421h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 9?$5.2421h ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.124d ago
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$15.874d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- YIELD$0.009d ago
- YIELD$0.0010d ago
- YIELD$0.0011d ago
- YIELD$0.0012d ago
- YIELD$0.0013d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $4.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 37d ago
- Last active
- 21h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
