Present-Tax
0x55656a8b6875c8f1dce122cd2d4db1b52ef69184
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$314.51
Total PnL
$1.67
Realised
$26.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
242 shares @ 63.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$221.43
$68.97
- YES
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
537 shares @ 19.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.38
$-45.65
- YES
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
418 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.69
$-48.91
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)$0.00Jun 17, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 11, 8PM ET$0.00Jun 17, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be less than 2,000,000?$0.00Jun 17, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?$0.00Jun 17, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$0.00Jun 17, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$495.00Jun 17, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMAHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins$0.00Jun 17, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMAberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 17, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves$0.00Jun 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$7.60Apr 27, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?$102.03Apr 24, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?$132.99Apr 24, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$149.25Apr 21, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$184.00Apr 13, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$813.00Apr 13, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$306.60Apr 12, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$11.97Apr 11, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$29.16Apr 11, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril Industries IPO before 2027?$12.06Apr 11, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$152.46Apr 11, 02:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $187.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 16:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.