Famous-Management
0x558d249bba3f93d45eeb3d0a0df40bf49843f0b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
108
Open notional
$37.41
Total PnL
$-73.18
Realised
$0.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$22.00
$20.90
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
22 shares @ 5.0¢·now 9.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.02
$0.92
- NO
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?
22 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.49
$0.39
- NO
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
22 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.43
$0.33
- YES
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?
22 shares @ 4.9¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.41
$0.33
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?
22 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.28
$0.18
- YES
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
24 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.15
$0.05
- YES
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
23 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.03
$-0.05
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?
24 shares @ 4.4¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.89
$-0.18
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
22 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.85
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe$1.50Apr 21, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$1.32Apr 17, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.32Apr 15, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLOstium FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.75Apr 13, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$1.53Apr 1, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$1.10Mar 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$1.10Mar 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?$1.53Mar 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$0.35Mar 27, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$0.75Mar 26, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Macedonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.10Mar 26, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$1.50Mar 26, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alycia Gruenhagen be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$1.65Mar 23, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$0.03Mar 20, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$0.92Mar 20, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.10Mar 20, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$0.15Mar 20, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$1.32Mar 20, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.10Mar 19, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$1.01Mar 19, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.