Sentimental-Conservation
0x55f4c3e487e3c72e548ea35b23b7adbc2486959c
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$205.31
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-8.35
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
70 shares @ 49.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.53
$19.53
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
78 shares @ 32.1¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.72
$19.72
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
194 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.16
$-1.84
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
171 shares @ 16.3¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.73
$0.73
- YES
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
50 shares @ 7.4¢·now 34.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.47
$13.76
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
69 shares @ 23.2¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
55 shares @ 54.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.35
$-23.65
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$12.13Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$2.17Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$5.14Jun 12, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$6.17Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jun 12, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$5.03Jun 12, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$10.16Jun 12, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$20.30Jun 12, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$2.04Jun 12, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$1.02Jun 12, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$2.63Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02Jun 12, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$1.03Jun 12, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$1.02Jun 12, 02:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$14.49Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$2.50Jun 11, 21:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $4.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 19:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.