Careful-Palace
0x56543bc508f0b85fc5d448515baf8a6d67b0dc18
Quality score
88/100
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$-119.74
Realised
$-25.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5151 shares @ 19.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$55.99
- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1193 shares @ 50.3¢·now 57.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$684.28
$84.29
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
2791 shares @ 25.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$683.71
$-16.28
- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
7054 shares @ 12.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$599.61
$-300.37
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
634 shares @ 78.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$554.35
$54.35
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
763 shares @ 65.6¢·now 72.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$550.18
$50.18
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
294 shares @ 68.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$210.29
$10.29
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$180.88
$80.88
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$96.25
$-3.75
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.17
$-45.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$184.822d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$300.002d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$100.002d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$200.002d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$253.332d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$200.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$200.002d ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$526.412d ago
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$124.032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$300.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$200.003d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$538.483d ago
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$122.863d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$500.006d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$100.007d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$200.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$100.007d ago
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$221.7710d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.0011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$300.0011d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $247.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 32d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.