0x56a89027214d33acdbf23710a803152a936deea2
0x56a89027214d33acdbf23710a803152a936deea2
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$708.12
Total PnL
$-291.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
60 shares @ 6.7¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.01
$52.01
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
60 shares @ 20.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$55.50
$43.50
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
60 shares @ 20.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$51.30
$39.30
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.15
$12.15
- YES
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?
30 shares @ 16.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$26.85
$21.85
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
30 shares @ 14.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$26.85
$22.56
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
30 shares @ 25.0¢·now 87.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$26.18
$18.68
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$25.05
$19.05
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
30 shares @ 11.1¢·now 73.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$21.90
$18.57
- YES
Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.60
$6.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$5.40May 22, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$3.02May 22, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?$0.02May 22, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$21.90May 22, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$0.84May 22, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$0.44May 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?$5.00May 22, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$23.10May 22, 04:21 UTC
- CONVERSIONWhat will OpenAI's public ticker be?$30.00May 22, 03:47 UTC
- SPLITWill OpenAI's public ticker be $OA?$30.00May 22, 03:47 UTC
- CONVERSIONHow many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?$30.00May 22, 02:56 UTC
- SPLITWill United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$30.00May 22, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$25.80May 22, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$1.30May 22, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$45.03May 22, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$3.48May 21, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?$11.22May 21, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 11 countries in 2026?$1.59May 21, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?$2.46May 21, 17:41 UTC
- CONVERSIONLargest Company end of June?$30.00May 21, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $9.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".