Third-Theology
0x56ebe2a8eb1b9bccfd3059f981f9c987e45e076a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$174.2K
Total PnL
$12.1K
Realised
$-6.4K
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
72182 shares @ 75.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.6K
$5.4K
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
69671 shares @ 63.4¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.4K
$11.2K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15000 shares @ 84.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.7K
$2.0K
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
8951 shares @ 82.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.8K
$1.4K
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
15898 shares @ 48.7¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.7K
$917.74
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
12381 shares @ 60.3¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.9K
$-599.79
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
5125 shares @ 85.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.9K
$-486.89
- NO
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
5810 shares @ 57.1¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$198.91
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
6202 shares @ 60.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.4K
$-279.08
- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
2400 shares @ 71.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$245.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.58Jun 13, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$66.77Jun 13, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01Jun 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.05Jun 13, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44.52Jun 13, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.0KJun 13, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.5KJun 13, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.7KJun 13, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.26Jun 13, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.73Jun 13, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$336.54Jun 13, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$40.45Jun 13, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$23.57Jun 13, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$36.21Jun 13, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.32Jun 13, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.39Jun 13, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$7.05Jun 13, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$70.30Jun 13, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$67.15Jun 13, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$202.21Jun 13, 03:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $584.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 23:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.