Infinite-Cloth
0x57683f1b82b6cb8aa4006169241d3f9b2da2a9d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$4.59
Total PnL
$-37.19
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on April 29?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Ethereum all time high by August 22?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on December 12?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Xi meet with Takaichi by September 30, 2026?$1.96Aug 13, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a tropical cyclone make landfall on Honshu in August 2026?$3.11Aug 13, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?$49.73Aug 13, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 11?$41.62Aug 11, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by September 30, 2026?$2.00Aug 11, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$2.00Aug 11, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a tropical cyclone make landfall on Honshu in August 2026?$3.01Aug 11, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?$49.49Aug 11, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 11?$9.99Aug 11, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 11?$31.59Aug 11, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.97Aug 11, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$2.98Aug 11, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?$79.40Aug 11, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on August 8?$14.00Aug 8, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$2.01Aug 8, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$3.00Aug 8, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.00Aug 8, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?$79.55Aug 8, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on August 8?$13.99Aug 8, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?$9.92Aug 8, 04:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $19.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.