Intent-Property
0x57f58473f8b0c0ea6f025cae8c31bea5e78cc1c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$314.57
Total PnL
$-162.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
42 shares @ 4.8¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.09
$8.09
- NO
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
65 shares @ 6.2¢·now 8.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$5.23
$1.23
- NO
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?
38 shares @ 10.4¢·now 13.6¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$5.21
$1.21
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.03
$2.03
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
48 shares @ 4.1¢·now 7.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.70
$1.70
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat?
61 shares @ 3.3¢·now 5.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.61
$1.61
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
98 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.56
$-0.42
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.34
$1.34
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
42 shares @ 9.5¢·now 7.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.34
$-0.66
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 6.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.15
$1.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$2.07Jul 29, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?$2.09Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?$2.07Jul 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$0.02Jul 28, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$0.85Jul 28, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$0.42Jul 28, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$0.68Jul 28, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?$2.07Jul 27, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?$2.07Jul 27, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1510 by December 31?$2.07Jul 27, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$2.09Jul 27, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?$2.07Jul 26, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHugh Jackman as Wolverine?$2.09Jul 26, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?$2.13Jul 26, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?$2.07Jul 26, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?$2.09Jul 25, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRyan Reynolds as Deadpool?$2.09Jul 25, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.98Jul 25, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$2.09Jul 25, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title$2.09Jul 24, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 06:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.