Gracious-Cayenne
0x582a3849078a613fc9baf451147e5658ec947bb2
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$238.82
Total PnL
$4.63
Realised
$-8.28
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.00
$11.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
75 shares @ 16.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$16.50
$4.50
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
37 shares @ 35.1¢·now 43.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$16.22
$3.22
- YES
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
28 shares @ 50.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
46 shares @ 28.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.62
$1.62
- YES
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
17 shares @ 70.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$14.57
$2.57
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
39 shares @ 33.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.98
$0.98
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
16 shares @ 83.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.55
$0.55
- NO
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$13.30
$1.30
- YES
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 44.1¢·now 44.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.20
$0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$12.004m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$8.0027m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?$0.0138m ago
- TRADESELLWill Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?$3.2553m ago
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$13.2657m ago
- TRADESELLWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$10.1257m ago
- TRADESELLWill Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?$1.5558m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?$0.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?$0.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$0.601h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?$0.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?$0.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?$0.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?$0.041h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?$0.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?$0.031h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?$0.411h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy's market cap be less than $5.5B at market close on IPO day?$1.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fervo Energy's market cap be less than $5.5B at market close on IPO day?$0.601h ago
- TRADEBUYOver $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?$2.411h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4h ago
- Last active
- 4m ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
