Concerned-Wing
0x58744f91ed701afdc02d55b0467b09ce62c505f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$27.37
Realised
$171.28
Win rate
92%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
575 shares @ 73.4¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$554.14
$132.21
- NO
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
265 shares @ 71.7¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$225.16
$35.15
- NO
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
215 shares @ 79.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$201.02
$29.52
- NO
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
183 shares @ 73.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$143.64
$9.23
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
170 shares @ 71.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$136.84
$15.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
175 shares @ 71.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$91.88
$-32.32
- YES
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
294 shares @ 38.3¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$89.67
$-23.02
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
115 shares @ 68.4¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.25
$7.55
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
105 shares @ 66.8¢·now 64.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$67.31
$-2.88
- NO
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?
67 shares @ 73.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.97
$11.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.05Jul 29, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$6.81Jul 29, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$1.81Jul 29, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.22Jul 29, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$32.17Jul 29, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.01Jul 29, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.01Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$4.75Jul 28, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?$1.00Jul 28, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$4.65Jul 28, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 52 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?$1.20Jul 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?$0.89Jul 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?$3.00Jul 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?$1.24Jul 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?$3.10Jul 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?$3.15Jul 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTodd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?$4.00Jul 28, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 240 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?$0.20Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 220-239 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?$0.40Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
78/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 48 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
48 closed markets, 92% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 01:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.