Reckless-Observatory
0x58875fd95bf9a41c3ce0efec64ba0322990c6e86
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$20.80
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 3?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.11
$-0.00
- NO
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.10
$0.00
- NO
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.08
$-0.00
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.05
$-0.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.04
$-0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.03
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.03
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.04Jun 2, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 2, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.11Jun 2, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.04Jun 2, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 3?$1.20Jun 2, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$1.08Jun 2, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$1.10Jun 2, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$1.02Jun 2, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.02Jun 2, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.02Jun 2, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.03Jun 2, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.04Jun 2, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.03Jun 2, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.02Jun 2, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 02:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 10:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".