Poor-Scene
0x5960b09b39d982c6e9956fb8337a82a553b5d692
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$36.95
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 88.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$366.00
$12.00
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?
300 shares @ 87.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$243.15
$-17.85
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
300 shares @ 48.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$208.47
$64.47
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
200 shares @ 66.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.00
$56.00
- NO
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?
200 shares @ 81.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 9, 2027$161.18
$-2.79
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$161.00
$21.00
- NO
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
200 shares @ 53.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$155.36
$47.70
- NO
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?
200 shares @ 69.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$140.00
$2.00
- NO
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
160 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$138.40
$-0.80
- NO
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
150 shares @ 84.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$134.23
$7.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viggo Björck win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?$0.90Jul 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$10.14Jul 28, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$27.62Jul 28, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$27.62Jul 28, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$10.14Jul 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.06Jul 28, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.27Jul 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.23Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.18Jul 27, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.27Jul 27, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.11Jul 27, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.24Jul 27, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.07Jul 27, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.10Jul 27, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.12Jul 27, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$2.33Jul 27, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?$150.00Jul 27, 01:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $21.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.