Svelte-Sign
0x59f3649c3a03c11a177d02d3aa56882d8201a7fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-837.87
Realised
$-37.61
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
1017 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$213.57
- YES
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.00
$1.95
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$0.96
$0.10
- YES
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?
807 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-403.50
- OVER
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
473 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-383.13
- YES
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 7?
276 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-38.64
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ET
142 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-71.00
- YES
Over 40,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
141 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
- NO
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?
81 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-38.88
- YES
Will Trump say "Anniversary" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
78 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?$62.08Apr 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?$426.80Apr 23, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$427.14Apr 12, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$803.43Apr 7, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEM2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 90% by March 31?$20.00Apr 7, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMEureka Red Devils vs. Indiana State Sycamores (W)$42.00Apr 7, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?$33.12Mar 31, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?$707.76Mar 31, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?$740.88Mar 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?$51.75Mar 26, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?$290.50Mar 26, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?$132.75Mar 26, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?$225.63Mar 26, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?$41.12Mar 26, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?$31.05Mar 25, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?$174.30Mar 25, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?$79.65Mar 25, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?$284.49Mar 24, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?$236.64Mar 23, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$237.15Mar 21, 16:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $238.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.