Past-Businessman
0x5a34a910aac9e648693b651265db50e86f7ce732
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$4.91
Total PnL
$-63.42
Realised
$-0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
12 shares @ 34.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.52
$-1.66
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
2 shares @ 41.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$2.39
$1.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- GRAMBLING STATE TIGERS
Grambling State Tigers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
179 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
32 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
29 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
25 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.03May 3, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.04May 3, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.93May 3, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.74Apr 30, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5$0.00Apr 30, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?$4.65Apr 30, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.02Apr 30, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5$2.04Apr 30, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$0.15Apr 30, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$0.04Apr 30, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$0.02Apr 30, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5$1.00Apr 27, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5$1.00Apr 27, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?$1.00Apr 27, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$22.06Apr 26, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$4.18Apr 21, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$4.19Apr 21, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.