Genuine-Punch
0x5a8cca4e457339e51bb4abc85ed9eb955da414aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$43.94
Total PnL
$-28.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
27 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 17.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.41
$2.41
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.29
$1.29
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- YES
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
NBA: 1st Overall Pick in 2026 Draft to be Traded?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$1.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jaylen Brown play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?$1.01Jun 23, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$0.24Jun 23, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$1.00Jun 23, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darryn Peterson be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?$1.03Jun 23, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?$10.13Jun 22, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.03Jun 22, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.04Jun 22, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$10.22Jun 22, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.03Jun 22, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$1.00Jun 22, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$1.02Jun 22, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$1.03Jun 22, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.03Jun 22, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?$1.03Jun 22, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$1.04Jun 22, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 23, 2026?$1.03Jun 21, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$1.03Jun 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$1.04Jun 20, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$1.03Jun 20, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 20, 12:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 07:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 20:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.