Clever-Trap
0x5ac6a47e5cec3139781051e917a44d512507a9c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.91
Total PnL
$-706.98
Realised
$1.74
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
9 shares @ 64.5¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.77
$-2.23
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
34 shares @ 11.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.55
$-1.45
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.29
$-2.71
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.55
$0.55
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 10.5¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
1055 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on February 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$168.67Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $42.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.