Brief-Labor
0x5c42cc404183fba2730df9450b0eea9c68a14bfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$8.55
Total PnL
$-40.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
60 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.70
$-3.30
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$-2.53
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 25.4¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.42
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.41
$-2.59
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?
4920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$1.43Jul 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 12, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?$1.34May 18, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.03May 16, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$1.04May 16, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.99May 16, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?$2.10May 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joel get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?$1.05May 15, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.09May 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.10May 15, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$0.93May 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$2.11May 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$6.61May 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.03May 1, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?$0.00May 1, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$1.81May 1, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?$5.27Apr 30, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$1.03Apr 30, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?$1.04Apr 30, 14:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 16:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.