Serpentine-Alliance
0x5c4b1cb8f0726e5f1165d56822a7b17e7ccbd3de
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$10.98
Total PnL
$-0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$2.66
$0.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.1¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.14
$0.14
- YES
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$1.46
$-0.54
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?$2.118h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$2.038h ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?$2.5318h ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?$1.101d ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?$1.691d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$2.051d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$2.051d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?$1.061d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?$1.061d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?$2.031d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?$0.009d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET$0.009d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET$1.009d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?$2.009d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 26?$1.1510d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?$3.7110d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?$2.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 26?$1.0010d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.2410d ago
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.0013d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 22d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
