0x5c4e5b8964cbbed011023379bc9ac7b6577bcf75
0x5c4e5b8964cbbed011023379bc9ac7b6577bcf75
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$924.01
Total PnL
$-6.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2095 shares @ 9.5¢·now 9.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.76
$-6.23
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1754 shares @ 5.7¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.70
$30.70
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
141 shares @ 71.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$116.20
$16.20
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
103 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 8, 2026$101.33
$1.33
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
132 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.66
$0.66
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
197 shares @ 50.8¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$99.88
$-0.12
- YES
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
3333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$81.82
$-18.18
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.78
$-6.22
- YES
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
3 shares @ 85.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-1.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.005h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$7.795h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.206h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.346h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.006h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.216h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$8.996h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.236h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$104.856h ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.006h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$101.166h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.536h ago
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$102.467h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$100.967h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$103.567h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$100.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$100.007h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.517h ago
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$113.5436d ago
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$100.0041d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $67.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 153d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
